Stock Market Today: March 10th - 14th, 2025

Here is a final look at today's market and futures maps, as well as how each sector performed individually at the close on Wednesday, March 12th, 2025.

 

Top of the morning StocksForumers! Happy Thursday to all of you and welcome to the new trading day and a frrrrrrrrrrrresh start. Here is a quick check on those futures as we are over an hour into the US cash market open.

GLTA on this Thursday, March the 13th, 2025!

 

Here are today's economic calendar events:

 

Here are today's analyst stock upgrades & downgrades:

 

Here are this morning's pre-market earnings results:

 

Morning Lineup - 3/13/25 - Fifteen Hard Days
Thu, Mar 13, 2025

Hell, meet the last three weeks in the market. After hitting a record high on 2/19, the S&P 500 has seemingly done nothing but trade lower, and the Nasdaq has been even weaker. As bad as the last three weeks have been, though, they pale compared to the same three weeks five years ago. You may already be aware, but just as the S&P 500 peaked this year on 2/19, it also peaked on 2/19 of 2020, and in the three weeks that followed the 2020 peak, the S&P 500 plunged over 19%. Now, that’s bad! In the three weeks since this year’s high, the S&P 500 is ‘only’ down 8.6%.

Back then, we were dealing with fears and uncertainty of a collapse in the entire global economy from a virus we knew very little about. As much uncertainty as there is now regarding the economy and global trade relations, it’s nothing like five years ago. However, just like back in Covid when the markets started to recover once it saw that the worst fears of a complete economic catastrophe would not be realized, this episode will continue until signs emerge that a full-blown trade war won’t be realized. When we get there is anyone’s guess, but it will look obvious in hindsight.



The chart below shows the S&P 500’s rolling 15-day rate of change since 1953, with the red line showing the weakest reading of the current period which was a decline of 9.3% through 3/12. This current episode of weakness is far from the most extreme reading ever. There were much deeper drawdowns back during Covid, the Financial Crisis, and after the 1987 crash, to name a few. The current period does, however, rank in the 98th percentile relative to all other periods since 1953. Even just looking at the last ten years, there were deeper 15-day declines in 2022, 2020, late 2018, early 2016, and August 2015. While you may recall the causes behind some or most of these episodes, we would bet that the vast majority of people would not know the catalyst behind each of them off the top of their heads. The odds are (hopefully) that ten years from now, most people looking back at this decline will not remember what had the market so concerned.

This morning, market fears remain at the forefront. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are set to give back about half of yesterday’s gains. Investor sentiment also remains very weak. The weekly poll from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed that bearish sentiment was above 55% for the third straight week. The only other time since 1987 that bearish sentiment was above the ‘speed limit’ was in the three weeks ending March 4, 2009.

The main economic report of the day was the February PPI, which came in weaker than expected. Despite the weaker reading, equity futures have barely budged. Perhaps recent comments from President Trump threatening 200% tariffs on all European alcohol imports are weighing more on sentiment.

 

Here is a final look at today's market and futures maps, as well as how each sector performed individually at the close on Thursday, March 13th, 2025.

 

Top of the morning StocksForumers! Happy Friday to all of you and welcome to the final trading day of the week and a frrrrrrrrrrrresh start. Here is a quick check on those futures as we are over an hour into the US cash market open.

GLTA on this Friday, March the 14th, 2025!

 

Here are today's economic calendar events:

 

Here are today's analyst stock upgrades & downgrades:

 

Here are this morning's pre-market earnings results:

 

Morning Lineup - 3/14/25
Fri, Mar 14, 2025

At least it’s Friday. Less than eight hours from now, investors will get a 48-hour window where the market can’t trade lower, and boy, could we use it! Check out the image below from our Trend Analyzer through yesterday’s close. Of the 14 index ETFs in the snapshot, they’re all down YTD, every one of them was down at least 3% since last Thursday’s close, they’re all at least 6% below their 50-day moving averages, and each one is also at ‘extreme’ oversold levels (2+ standard deviations below their 50-DMA). If this isn’t a correction (or worse), we don’t know what is.

There’s a positive tone in the futures market this morning, but that has been the case multiple other times in the last few weeks, only to see the gains disappear during the regular session. The only economic report on the calendar today is the University of Michigan Sentiment Index, which has shown some notable weakness lately. Results of the survey have also been highly skewed based on the political leanings of each respondent, as Americans increasingly experience different realities based on their political leanings.

Besides the Michigan report, we’re also likely to get any number of headlines out of Washington regarding trade. Thankfully, the threat of a government shutdown doesn’t loom now that Democrats in the Senate will allow the Republican funding bill to come to a vote on a simple majority basis.

 

Here is a final look at today's market and futures maps, as well as how each sector performed individually at the close on Friday, March 14th, 2025.

 

Here is an early preview of next week's notable earnings releases courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Have yourself a terrific weekend ahead guys!